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Re: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13
From: |
Joern Thyssen |
Subject: |
Re: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13 |
Date: |
Mon, 9 Jun 2003 15:52:42 +0000 |
User-agent: |
Mutt/1.4.1i |
On Mon, Jun 09, 2003 at 04:31:53PM +0100, Ian Shaw wrote
[snip]
> Putting it in English, is the following a reasonable interpretation?
>
> Based on the results of 100 games, we are 95% confident that GnuBg can
> expect to win between 46% and 56% of matches against Snowie 4.
> However, luck is still playing a big part in the results, and if we
> account for the luck in those 100 matches, we are 95% confident that
> GnuBg will win between 48.6% and 51.4% of matches.
I'm not sure that this is the correct statistical interpretation, but it
seems reasonable.
About the luck: we account for luck in an approximative way -- not
exact. If our measure of luck is very bad, we may introduce bias in the
results.
Anyway, I have the necessary programs to analyse luck etc, so if
anyone want run a longer collection of matches I can do the necessary
statistical analysis.
Jørn
- Re: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13, (continued)
- Re: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13, Joern Thyssen, 2003/06/09
- RE: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13, Albert Silver, 2003/06/09
- Re: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13, Joern Thyssen, 2003/06/09
- Re: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13, Joseph Heled, 2003/06/09
- RE: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13, Albert Silver, 2003/06/09
RE: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13, Ian Shaw, 2003/06/09
RE: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13, Ian Shaw, 2003/06/09
RE: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13, Ian Shaw, 2003/06/09
- Re: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13,
Joern Thyssen <=
RE: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13, Joseph Heled, 2003/06/10
RE: [Bug-gnubg] Snowie 4 vs. GNU 0.13, Albert Silver, 2003/06/15