Re: [Bug-gnubg] RE:Why is odd ply equity always lower?

[Nardy Pillards]

From: "Joern Thyssen" <address@hidden>
Sent: Friday, June 13, 2003 1:55 PM


> On Fri, Jun 13, 2003 at 11:16:05AM +1200, Joseph Heled wrote
> > Ingenious. If true, this is a general argument that applies to all bots.
>
> Yes, indeed.
>
> > I would like to repeat my personal view that bots play well not because
> > they get the absolute equity right, but despite it. A bot chooses well
> > between several positions. This applies both to play and doubling.
>
> Why does it applies to doubles? I would think that we needed accurate
> equities for cube decisions, both doubles and takes.
>
> Hmm, it's because a 2-ply cube decision is really comparing doubling now
> with doubling next time, so it doesn't matter if some of the equities
> are wrong? Still if some of the 0-ply equities at the 2-ply leaf nodes
> are overestimated, we may overestimate the number of market losers,
> hence, we double to early?

Wild speculation.....
Suppose somehow we can find out the overestimated 0-ply equity?
By rolling out Cube positions? And adapt the equity with that number??

Nardy

>
> Jørn